9/3/2023 0 Comments Download marathon times paceAnd experience in judging the right pace could play a role (though you'd expect that to work in the opposite direction: on average, it's actually the slowest runners who come closest to maintaining their pace in the final kilometres). less realistic) in their goal setting, and thus are more likely to be slowing down near the finish. There are other possible contributing factors, too - it could be that 3:00 marathoners tend be more optimistic (i.e. Of course, these are just average results there are clearly plenty of exceptions on an individual level. That's what these results seem to show: when the finish line gets in range, slower runners are more likely to find they still have extra energy in the tank. You learn to sustain a higher level of relative effort, and leave less in reserve at the finish. What's my point? I've blogged a bunch recently on topics like pain tolerance and mental training - the idea that as you train and get fitter, it's not just your body that is changing your mind is too. If you ignore the round-number spikes, there's also a similar background pattern: runners on pace for a non-round-number time between 4:30 and 5:00 are nonetheless more likely to be able to find an extra gear compared to runners on pace for times between 3:00 and 3:30. In this case, about 30% of runners on pace for 3:00 are able summon enough energy to speed up in comparison, more than 40% of 5:00 runners are able to kick home.
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